According to a recent poll by the Turkish Sociological Institute Optimar, the ruling Justice and Development Party, led by President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, will receive only 38% of the vote in the 2023 parliamentary elections, Daily Sabah reported today, March 30.
The main opposition Republican People’s Party (RPP), Kemal Kilicdaroglu, two years before the general elections – both parliamentary and presidential – can count on 24%, while the threatened pro-Kurdish People’s Democracy Party (PDP) will gain 12%.
According to March polls by Optimar, the Nationalist Movement Party (PNM), AKP’s partner in the People’s Alliance, claims 11%, the opposition Good Party (İYİ) – 10%.
Electoral ratings of other relatively large political associations in the face of the Democracy and Breakthrough Party (DEVA), created a year ago by former Deputy Prime Minister Ali Babacan. the conservative Happiness Party (SP) and the Great Unity Party (BBP) hover around 1%, which is far from overcoming the passing barrier to get seats in the Grand National Assembly of Turkey (10%).
An Optimar poll shows that the Alliance of the People, which consisted of the AKP, MHP, and BBP in 2018, will receive 50%, while the Alliance of the Nation, which included the PRP and İYİ in the last elections, is gaining 34%.
The 2023 general election will be the first for the DEVA party, which was formed by dissidents from the AKP.
Before the 2018 elections, Optimar’s predictions were close to the final results of the previous election campaign, the Daily Sabah notes. The latest poll, conducted on June 14-20, 2018, prior to the June 24 general election, showed that the AKP would receive 46% of the vote, which was 3.5% higher than the ruling party’s actual result of 42.5%. The RNP, which eventually received 22.6% of the votes, was predicted to receive 26.3%.
As EADaily reported, Recep Tayyip Erdogan was re-elected on March 24 as chairman of the ruling Justice and Development Party. All 1,428 congress delegates voted unanimously for the candidacy of the Turkish leader and founder of the AKP, which has been in power since 2002. Erdogan was the only candidate nominated for this post.
Recall that after the constitutional reform initiated by the AKP, Turkey moved from a parliamentary system of government to a presidential one. Erdogan was elected head of state in the first presidential elections held in the Republic of Turkey in June 2018 by popular vote. Currently, the posts of president and prime minister in the country are actually combined – the head of state heads the cabinet of ministers.