Political scientist estimated probability of direct interference of Turkey in Garabagh

By | September 29, 2020
Political scientist estimated probability of direct interference of Turkey in Garabagh

Turkey’s direct military intervention in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is unlikely, as the army of Azerbaijan exceeds the army of Armenia in its strength, Turkish economist and political scientist, former trade representative of Turkey in Russia Aydin Cezer told TOP NEWS.
Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said on Tuesday that Turkey was ready to support Azerbaijan both at the negotiating table and on the battlefield.
“I don’t think Turkey will directly interfere in the military operations. Besides, the potential of the Azerbaijani army does not require such interference, it is stronger than the Armenian army,” the interlocutor said.

According to him, Turkey’s intervention could further increase the degree of tension in the Caucasus. “Turkey and Russia are negotiating for this war to finally be over and Ankara is closely watching what position Moscow has in this conflict,” Césaire said.
He noted that Turkey’s economy is going through difficult times. “The conditions in which Turkey finds itself are assessed by experts as a crisis, and if the country is involved in a serious military conflict, it is difficult to predict how it will affect its economy. “But I don’t think Turkey will join this war,” the political scientist added.

On September 27 the Defense Ministry of Azerbaijan stated that Armenian armed forces fired on settlements on the line of contact in Karabakh, according to these data, there are dead civilians and military men. According to the Armenian Defense Ministry, Karabakh “has undergone air and missile attacks”. Yerevan said Baku had “launched an offensive” in the Karabakh direction. The unrecognized Nagorno-Karabakh Republic was told that peaceful settlements in Karabakh, including the capital Stepanakert, had come under artillery fire.
Armenia has declared martial law and general mobilization.
Azerbaijan also approved the introduction of martial law in a number of cities and regions of the republic and curfews in the country, announced partial mobilization. A number of states, including Russia and France, called on the sides for restraint. Russian President Vladimir Putin and Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan held a telephone conversation on September 27 during which they noted that it was important to make every effort to prevent escalation in Karabakh.
The conflict in Karabakh began in February 1988, when the Nagorno-Karabakh Autonomous Region announced its secession from the Azerbaijan SSR. During the armed confrontation in 1992-1994, Azerbaijan lost control over Nagorno-Karabakh and seven surrounding districts. Since 1992, negotiations on peaceful settlement of the conflict have been held within the OSCE Minsk Group led by three co-chairmen – Russia, the USA, and France. Azerbaijan insists on preserving its territorial integrity, Armenia protects the interests of the unrecognized republic, as NKR is not a party to the negotiations.